Should you ever bet on a future bet with the intention of winning money? No.
Do I have any idea who will win the NFL MVP in the upcoming season? Absolutely not.
HOWEVER, when it comes down to the value of bets based on the ceiling of a player and the situation they are in, I'm not seeing a better value than this. Now I'm not going to pretend Carson Wentz looked good last year, I'm not ever going to pretend he looked like a quarterback, but the state of that Eagles team can not be overstated, from coaching to offensive line. Jalen Hurts is going to probably have an even worse time. Leaving Philly, Wentz isn't saying goodbye to much besides some young talent in Miles Sanders and Dallas Goedert, as well as some serious talent on the offensive line that just hasn't been healthy. Below I have a side by side comparison of Wentz's week 1 starters last season to his projected week 1 starters this season with the Colts.
When it comes down to it, when we've seen Carson Wentz play with a good team, he's played at an MVP level. When he's played on a poorly constructed, heavily injured team, he's lead them to the playoffs more often than he's stunk. The best receiver Wentz has played with was Alshon Jeffrey with a torn rotator cuff. Put Wentz on a good team, he absolutely has MVP potential, especially when you see that Dak Prescott (+1600) Justin Herbert (+2500) and Ryan Tannehill (+2500) all are considered more likely to win the upcoming MVP.
AGAIN, this is not a good bet if you enjoy winning or making money, but you already know if you're the type to take an underdog NFL MVP futures bet in April.